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Inside the AI engine room: Broadcom’s results and the quiet reshuffle in data-centre chips

Posted on: Dec 11 2025

Key takeaways

  • Broadcom’s 11 December earnings will test whether its rapid artificial intelligence growth can keep pace with lofty expectations.

  • The company sits at the crossroads of Nvidia-style GPUs and custom AI chips, giving a clearer view of how the hardware mix evolves.

  • Long-term investors can use this print to refine views on AI infrastructure, not to gamble on a single quarter.

Broadcom designs networking chips, custom accelerators and infrastructure software that power many of the world’s largest cloud platforms. It is less visible than Nvidia to consumers, but deeply embedded in how data centres move and process information.

In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, Broadcom delivered strong growth, with revenue up more than 20% and earnings rising over 30%. The company also carries a consolidated backlog of about 110 billion USD, which represents orders already agreed but not yet delivered. That figure will be watched closely this quarter, as it shows whether a small group of giant cloud customers are increasing, holding, or trimming their long-term commitments.

A results day that doubles as an AI check-up

When Broadcom reports fourth quarter fiscal 2025 results after the close on 11 December 2025, investors will really focus on one thing: is the AI infrastructure boom still accelerating, or starting to calm down a little?

Analysts polled by Bloomberg expect quarterly revenue of about 17.5 billion USD, roughly 24% higher than a year ago, and earnings growth of a bit over 30%. Management has guided to around 17.4 billion USD in revenue, in line with that, and has flagged that AI semiconductor revenue could reach roughly 6.2 billion USD. That would be the eleventh straight quarter of AI growth and a strong sign that cloud providers are still spending heavily to build and connect AI servers.

For long-term investors, the appeal is simple. This is not just another earnings call. It is a live snapshot of how the AI chip stack is evolving, from Nvidia’s graphics processors to the quieter rise of custom application-specific chips, and how a “plumbing-heavy” business like Broadcom is trying to secure its place in that value chain.

GPUs, ASICs and the quiet chip reshuffle

Most of the AI story so far has centred on Nvidia’s graphics processing units (GPUs), which are flexible chips originally built for graphics but very well suited to training large AI models. Nvidia still controls roughly 80% to 90% of the AI accelerator market, helped by a strong software ecosystem and tight developer relationships.

However, hyperscalers, the very large cloud providers such as Google and Amazon, are increasingly building their own application specific integrated circuits (ASICs). An ASIC is a chip designed for one main task, such as running recommendation engines or inference workloads. By giving up some flexibility, these chips can improve performance per watt and reduce total cost for very specific jobs.

This is where Broadcom matters. It works with major cloud customers to design custom accelerators and the high-speed networking that links thousands of AI servers together. As Google, Amazon and others move from buying only Nvidia GPUs to a mix of GPUs and in-house ASICs, Broadcom aims to capture a growing share of that custom silicon budget and the cables and switches that keep it all talking.

Industry forecasts suggest that GPUs made around 100 billion USD of data centre revenue in 2024 and that combined GPU and AI ASIC markets could more than double by 2030. The trend is not about GPUs disappearing, but about more specialised chips joining the party. Broadcom’s numbers can offer a clue about how fast that mix is shifting.

What to watch in this week’s numbers

On this earnings call, investors are likely to listen through three main lenses. First, the pace of AI semiconductor growth. If AI revenue lands close to or above the 6.2 billion USD guidance, it suggests the build-out of AI data centres remains robust. A materially softer number would support the idea that the first phase of the AI investment surge is easing.

Second, the mix of demand. Management commentary on which customers are growing fastest, whether spend is focused on training or inference, and how much is going to custom chips versus off-the-shelf parts, will help frame the balance between Nvidia-style platforms and ASIC-heavy strategies.

Third, discipline. Investors will compare AI growth with updates on capital expenditure, margins and cash returns. Broadcom has presented itself as a relatively steady compounder inside a very volatile AI story. The more it can show growth with stable or improving profitability, the stronger that narrative becomes for long-term holders.

Risks to keep in view

There are real risks around this optimistic AI infrastructure picture. The most obvious is a pause in spending. If cloud providers decide they have built enough capacity for now, or if end-user AI adoption disappoints, orders for both GPUs and custom chips could slow. That would hit Broadcom’s growth at the same time as its customers digest past investment.

Competition is another risk. Nvidia is not standing still, and rivals such as AMD and others are pushing their own platforms. At the same time, hyperscalers may use their purchasing power to pressure suppliers on pricing. Broadcom also remains exposed to integration and execution risk around VMware, and to customer concentration, given how much of its backlog depends on a handful of very large buyers.

Investor playbook

  • Treat Broadcom as one window into the AI infrastructure theme, not a complete picture of AI investing.

  • Listen for clues on the balance between GPUs and custom ASICs when reviewing the earnings commentary.

  • Focus on the health of the backlog, margins and cash generation rather than the exact earnings-per-share figure.

  • Use scenarios and position sizing, so any single AI supplier does not dominate your portfolio risk.

One print, a much bigger story

Broadcom’s earnings this week are about far more than whether it beats consensus by a small amount. They are a real time test of how the AI hardware stack is evolving, how confident the biggest cloud players feel about future demand, and whether there is room for both Nvidia-style GPU platforms and quieter custom chips to thrive together.

For long-term investors, the most useful takeaway may be perspective. The AI infrastructure cycle is likely to move in waves, and different players will lead at different times. Watching Broadcom’s results alongside those of Nvidia, AMD and others can help you track where value is shifting in the stack. The goal is not to chase whichever acronym is hottest, but to build a portfolio that can live with the twists of a long AI build-out.

This material is marketing content and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Ruben DalfovoInvestment StrategistSaxo Bank
Topics: Equities Highlighted articles Technology Theme - Artificial intelligence Artificial Intelligence
A more patient way to buy bitcoin: using an ETF and a cash buffer

Posted on: Dec 05 2025

Bitcoin’s recent volatility has left many long-term investors unsure about when to enter, yet still interested in gaining exposure through regulated ETFs. This article explains how a simple, cash-backed approach can help investors plan a more patient entry into bitcoin while keeping risks and obligations clear.

A more patient way to buy bitcoin: using an ETF and a cash buffer

This article builds on our earlier piece, “A cold spell or crypto winter?” (link below in the related articles section), where we explored the sharp moves in bitcoin and ethereum and the shifting sentiment behind them. That article focused on what happened and why. This one looks forward. It asks a different question: what can long-term investors do if they still believe in bitcoin’s long-term story but are unsure about when to enter?

Bitcoin has once again shown how quickly conditions can change. After its recent decline, ETF flows, sentiment and price action have been moving in short bursts of optimism and concern. Many investors feel caught between wanting long-term exposure and feeling uncomfortable committing at today’s price. Instead of trying to guess the perfect moment, a more patient, rules-based entry can help bring structure to the decision.

One way to approach that is by combining a listed bitcoin ETF with a simple cash buffer. This method gives investors two possible outcomes: earning a small premium for waiting, or buying the ETF at a lower price if the market weakens. The strategy is built around clarity and preparation rather than prediction.

Understanding the ETF used in our example

BlackRock offers several versions of its spot bitcoin ETF. The US-listed version, known by its American ticker and quoted in USD on Nasdaq, is where options are available and actively traded. European investors typically cannot buy this specific ETF directly because it does not have the required EU documentation. However, and this often surprises people, the options on the US-listed ETF are available for trading in the EU. This makes it a practical reference for learning how certain option-based strategies work.

Alongside the US version, BlackRock also offers European-listed share classes under tickers such as IB1T, available on exchanges in Switzerland, France, Germany and the UK. These European ETFs are designed for straightforward buy-and-hold exposure and do not have listed options attached. Investors who want to own bitcoin through an ETF often use these European versions, while the US share class serves as the reference point for option examples.

What recent price action tells us

The chart below shows the recent movements of the US-listed ETF. It reflects bitcoin’s pullback, the rebound that followed, and the wide swings in between. These fluctuations are reminders of why bitcoin can feel difficult to enter with confidence.

Line charts showing IBIT's recent weekly and daily price movements, highlighting bitcoin's volatility and the rebound after the selloff. Source: Saxo.

Despite the volatility, some investors see these conditions as an opportunity to plan rather than react. They prefer a structure in which they are prepared to buy if prices fall further, but also able to earn a small premium if prices hold steady.

A more measured way to plan an entry

A cash-secured put brings this idea to life in a simple way. It allows an investor to choose a price at which they are comfortable buying the ETF, set aside the necessary cash, and receive a premium for making that commitment. If the ETF never reaches that price, the investor keeps the premium and the cash remains untouched. If it does fall below the chosen level, the investor may end up buying the ETF at that predefined price.

Many beginners hear the word “option” and assume complexity. In this case, the opposite is true. A cash-secured put is one of the most straightforward ways to use options because everything is fully backed by cash, and the intention is aligned with something investors already understand: the willingness to buy an asset at a specific price.

Bringing the idea into focus: an example

To give this approach real shape, consider next week’s option prices for the US-listed ETF. The example focuses on the 50‑USD put option, which expires in about a week.

Important note: The strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it's crucial to make informed decisions.

Option chain for the US-listed IBIT ETF, highlighting the 50‑USD strike put expiring next week. Source: Saxo

At the moment shown in the chain, the ETF trades around 52.5 USD, and the 50‑USD put option offers a premium of about 0.58 USD per share. Since each option corresponds to 100 shares, the premium an investor receives is roughly 58 USD. To secure the trade with cash, the investor sets aside 5,000 USD, which is the amount needed if they are required to buy the shares.

From here, the path is straightforward. If the ETF stays above 50 USD until expiry, the commitment ends and the investor keeps the 58 USD as income for the week. If the ETF falls below 50 USD, the investor may be assigned and buys the ETF at 50 USD. Because they already received the premium, the effective cost becomes 49.42 USD per share.

Seeing the strategy visually

A payoff diagram helps clarify what happens at expiry.

Payoff diagram showing the potential profit and loss of selling a 50‑USD cash-secured put on the IBIT ETF. Source: Saxo

The shape of the graph is gentle and intuitive. Above the 50‑USD level, the outcome stays close to the premium received, because the investor is never required to buy. Below 50 USD, the line tilts downward, mirroring the losses an investor would face if they had bought the ETF outright. The only difference is that the starting point is slightly lower because of the premium.

This visual also highlights what the strategy does not provide: participation in sharp upside moves. If bitcoin surges, the investor does not own the ETF and does not benefit from the rise. A cash-secured put is therefore not a bullish strategy in the traditional sense; it is a strategy for investors who want to enter the market on their own terms.

Comparing this with buying immediately

Buying the ETF at today’s price means taking full exposure right away. If the price rises, the investor benefits immediately. If it falls, the loss is felt immediately as well.

A cash-secured put softens the timing. It gives the investor breathing room. They receive income while waiting, and they only buy the ETF if the market offers a lower price. The discount created by the premium is modest, but the psychological benefit of having a rule-based entry can be meaningful for many investors.

The trade-off is equally important to understand: if bitcoin rises quickly, the investor earns only the small premium and does not take part in the upside. This feature is deliberate. A patient entry strategy is for investors who accept waiting as part of the process.

Who this approach may suit

This form of structured entry is often preferred by investors who already intend to own bitcoin or a bitcoin ETF but are cautious about timing. It appeals to those who want the possibility of buying at a lower price and who are comfortable setting aside cash for a period. It is less suitable for anyone who may feel anxious about being required to buy if prices fall sharply or who needs their cash for other purposes.

Risks that matter

Bitcoin is a high-volatility asset, and this characteristic does not disappear when using an option strategy. Large moves can happen over a weekend or overnight, and the ETF may open at a very different level to where it closed. A cash-secured put also carries the obligation to buy if the ETF is below the chosen price at expiry. Investors must be comfortable with both outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Is this safer than buying bitcoin directly? Not in a traditional sense. It simply changes the timing and gives a small premium that softens the entry point.

Can I exit the position early? Yes. The option can usually be bought back before expiry, though the price will depend on market conditions.

Why use the US version of the ETF in the example? Because this is where the option market exists. The European versions are designed for long-term holding but do not have options attached.

Final thoughts

A cash-secured put can help long-term investors build a patient and disciplined entry into a volatile asset. It keeps decisions structured and intentional rather than reactive. But like any approach involving bitcoin, it requires a clear understanding of the risks and a willingness to accept them.

This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. As always, investors should consider whether the approach aligns with their financial goals and risk tolerance.

This content is marketing material and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The Author is permitted to wait at least 24 hours from the time of the publication before they trade the instruments themselves. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. This content will not be changed or subject to review after publication.
Educational Resources
  • A comprehensive guide to crypto ETFs
  • How to use a market selloff to reassess your portfolio strategy
  • How to reevaluate your portfolio during a market sell off
  • What is market volatility and why does it matter for investors
  • The risks of ETF investing and how to manage them
  • Understanding risk tolerance
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Koen HoorelbekeInvestment and Options StrategistSaxo Bank
Topics: Options Thought Starters Highlighted articles Theme - Crypto and blockchain UKMustRead